Talk To Nature : Amazon Rainfall Project : Averated Rainfall Will Meet The Goal For 2007

Averated Rainfall will meet the goal for 2007

September 30, 2007 completes the first year of the Amazon Rainfall Project which began October 1, 2006. I am pleased to say that the 365-day map from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center appears to successfully indicate average rainfall amounts that reach our goal of 2000 mm across large portions of our study area in the Amazon Rainforest Basin. The 365-day rainfall map for the Amazon Rainforest is indicating that we were successful in finding enough moisture for the forest so as to prevent it from going into drought. Rainfall forecasts for the Amazon Basin were predicting that the forest, particularly in the East, was going to be drier than would have been healthy for the Basin. Fortunately, most of these low rainfall forecasts did not verify. On the 365-day map of accumulation anomalies there were some areas in the forest that had received less than their usual rainfall of up to and over 600 mm, but it would seem that overall the forest is managing to stay healthy.

The monthly rainfall totals for September are acceptable for the health of the forest. The Amazon Rainforest Basin is still going through its dry season. I have had good news on the precipitation for the middle of the forest with rainfall levels over 200% in parts. In the southern part of the forest rainfall amounts have not exceeded 50%, which is quite dry. Generally, the total precipitation for our study area, particularly in the northern part, is near the goal of 170 mm per month, and I think rainfall amounts are adequate for this part of the dry season.

I would like to assess rainfall over the Basin for a complete year starting January 1, (a calendar year). So in 3 months I will have a better idea of my success in using the Language to Nature in asking for 2000 mm of average rainfall for the Amazon forest Basin.

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